Zambia’s Role in the Green Energy Transition

Zambia is well positioned to provide the world with the minerals it needs to transition to renewable energy.

With its significant reserves of copper and cobalt, metals that are fundamental to the transition away from fossil fuel reliance, it has the potential to provide global supply chains with crucial components for years to come.

These minerals are used not only in wind and solar powered technology, but are also fundamental to the production of batteries used in electric vehicle production.

 Transitioning to electric vehicles and increased energy supply via renewable sources is fundamental to the shared global commitment to keep global warming below 1.5 degrees. In the words of the United Nation’s Net Zero Coalition “replacing polluting coal, gas and oil-fired power with energy from renewable sources, such as wind or solar, would dramatically reduce carbon emissions.”

Consequently, according to the International Energy Agency, Copper demand is expected to three times its current level by 2040, while cobalt demand is expected to rise more than twenty times.

Zambia accounts for 6% of the world’s copper reserves. It produces 850,000 tonnes of copper annually, making it the world’s 7th largest producer but with government focus and foreign investment this is expected to rise significantly. 

Canadian firm First Quantum Minerals (FQM) have committed to a $1.25 billion dollar investment into the Kansanshi copper mine as a reflection of their “renewed confidence” in Zambia’s investment climate. The investment is designed to expand the mine and seize the opportunity rising international demand presents.  

President Hichilema is keen to see Zambia meet the global rising demand in order to spur economic growth. A key part of the UPND’s growth strategy, designed to steer the country into a period of middle income prosperity following the instability of the Lungu years, is the commitment to increase copper production more than three times over.  

By 2030, it is hoped Zambia will produce 3 million tonnes of copper a year – that represents an impressive 352% increase in production on a commodity that already accounts for 80% of the country’s export earnings. 

Copper is critical for solar PV, wind, hydro, electric vehicles and national electricity grids, there are few metals more fundamental to a green transition. Zambia is placed in an extraordinary position to spur its own economic take-off and to foster a status as a crucial player in the fight against climate change.

This is why during December’s US Africa leaders’ summit, held in Washington, D.C. leaders from Zambia, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and the US signed a memorandum of understanding to develop an electric vehicles battery chain.

It is also why US-based firm KoBold Metals have announced a $150 million development into the Mingomba copper-cobalt mine in the country. The Bill Gates backed startup aims to use artificial intelligence to create a map of the Earth’s crust, identifying areas with the highest concentration of cobalt and copper deposits in order to locate minerals overlooked by traditional exploration as the earth’s most accessible minerals have increasingly already been mined. The company’s CEO is absolute: he does not see KoBold as a mining operator but a leader in the “electric vehicle revolution.”

Because copper is a highly efficient conductor, it is used in electric cabling and its efficiency reduces wastage. It is also one of few materials that can be used again and again without a loss in performance. Copper plays an important role in making energy production as efficient as possible with minimal impact on the environment.

Traditionally, Zambian government have sought to extract the greatest possible tax value from the mining industry. However, the New Dawn government have reduced the tax payable on new mines in order to encourage further exploration, induce investment, and create the greatest possible economic gain for the entire Zambian economy, not just the government’s coffers.

In this new climate, mining giant Barrick Gold has recently announced record yields from its Lumwana copper mine. Crucially for Zambia’s future, the company’s presence in the country has benefits beyond corporate and treasury income. Barrick Gold employ more than 4,000 people in the country, 99.3% of those are Zambian nations benefitting from the firm’s employment. It has been estimated that when royalties, taxes and local employment are combined, the firm have contributed $8.2 billion to the country’s economy.

In the past, Zambia has not taken full advantage during copper booms. From 2003 to 2006 the price of copper tripled, Zambia’s economic growth rate also grew, but poverty and income inequality remained unaffected.

Without integrating the benefits of foreign investment into the broader economy, Zambia could once again fail to capitalise on the opportunities presented by its extraordinary natural resources. By encouraging foreign firms to employ Zambia workers in the mine, in catering, housing, security, and to executive positions within local structures.

As optimism grows that Zambia can play a leading role in a transformed world, there is hope that President Hichilema can create meaningful change for Zambians.